Home > Ekonomi > #jikaXmakaY #ekonometri

#jikaXmakaY #ekonometri

secanggih dan se-fancy apapun nama model , ujung2nya tu cuma mau membuktikan apakah “X menyebabkan Y”

salah satu hal penting yg gw pelajari selama ini: “karena ngga pernah merasakan bukan berarti ngga ada”

hanya krn ngga merasakan jalan beraspal mulus bukan berarti ngga ada yg peduli dg jalan aspal

kembali ke , ilmuwan susah payah blajar utk bilang “X maka Y”. bhw ga ada aspal mulus (Y) ga berarti ga ada org yg peduli itu (X)

tp emg itu sih problemnya ilmuwan/ekonom: ga pinter mengkomunikasikan ini ke masyarakat. org taunya “lha ini jln rusak, pasti krn korupsi!”

lalu bagaimana tau kl “X maka Y” dan bkn “Y maka X”? gmn jika “X dan Z maka Y”, gmn jika Z ga masuk? gmn jika sebenarnya “Z maka Y”? mumet!

gmn jika seiring waktu X berubah jd Y? gmn jika X di kota 1 beda dg X di kota 2? gmn jika “X maka Y maka X”? gmn jika X yg kmrn ngefek ke Y?

gmn jika X ga bs diukur? gmn jika “X maka Y” hanya berlaku di kota 1 dan tdk di kota 2? gmn jika data utk X dan Y cuma sedikit?

ah sudahlah, mau cari makanan buat berbuka dulu. kalo yg ini jelas: jika saya makan maka saya kenyang! :))

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Categories: Ekonomi
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